A new era of consumer data: Enrich your data strategies to identify and predict vulnerable customers

Elderly lady at home using a laptop to apply for a financial producft

In this article we take a detailed look at vulnerability; what it is, what regulators expect, and how businesses can better identify and predict vulnerability to avoid causing consumers harm.

We’ll also outline how TransUnion’s unique partnership with the Vulnerability Regulation Service (VRS) is paving the way towards an integrated view of financial and non-financial indicators in one place.

Macroeconomic factors testing the resilience of UK consumers

Continued and relentless macroeconomic turbulence across the 2020s, including high interest rates, record high food and goods prices, worldwide political and social upheaval, and even the backlogs of NHS appointments, have caused stress for consumers in the UK, calling for them to have a high level of endurance and resilience.

Weathering a prolonged storm does have an impact - the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA)’s Financial Lives research reveals that 27.7 million UK adults now show characteristics of vulnerability such as poor health, experiencing negative life events, low financial resilience or low capability.

StepChange’s personal debt statistics reveals that the ‘cost of living increase’ is now the most common reason for debt, cited by one in four (25%) of their clients.

Regulators enforcing greater accountability on firms

Supporting vulnerable customers is nothing new – what is more recent is the shift regulators are taking to outline in greater detail their expectation that firms must take greater responsibility and accountability for preventing consumers at risk of vulnerability from harm. Whilst also advising firms to be more inclusive towards vulnerable consumers, offering them greater choice and empowerment than before, rather than purely making ‘responsible adjustments’. This is evident in the FCA’s Consumer Duty guidance which specifically calls out with greater emphasis the need to support vulnerable customers in addition to treating all consumers fairly. The FCA is not alone in its drive towards better support for vulnerable consumers with other regulatory bodies such as Ofcom, Ofgem, Ofwat, to name a few, also providing vulnerable consumer guidance for their members.

4 key drivers of vulnerability outlined by the FCA:

  1. Health - health conditions or illnesses that affect the ability to carry out day to day tasks
  2. Life events - major life events such as bereavement or relationship breakdown
  3. Resilience - low ability to withstand financial or emotional shocks 
  4. Capability– low knowledge of financial matters or low confidence in managing money

The fluidity and complexity of consumer vulnerability

Consumer vulnerability is fluid – it can be temporary, sporadic or permanent and everyday life circumstances can result in any person experiencing vulnerability. Consumers can move in and out of vulnerable states and may show vulnerability characteristics in some categories but not in others.Examples of this include job losses, bereavement and divorce.

This complexity poses quite a challenge for businesses and regulators alike as identification, prediction and journey treatments at scale using big data are traditionally set around indicators at a high level, which infrequently change over time, rather than constantly changing statuses which better reflects consumers’ vulnerability volatility – at times leading to inadvertently excluding consumers classed as vulnerable when not updated regularly.

The three key stages of the consumer vulnerability funnel

The contemporary position, which the FCA aligns to, is to view vulnerability as a spectrum, which customers can move up and down depending on their circumstances.

The spectrum starts with identifiers of vulnerability, which singles out those most at risk of financial or non-financial vulnerability, moving to financial stress indicators, where vulnerabilities are starting to crystallise via financial stress, and the final stage, financial difficulty, where these vulnerabilities have resulted in consumer harm and are evident through financial harm indicators.

How to identify customers showing signs of financial vulnerability with data indicators

Consumers make multiple transactions and interact with several businesses; few solely transact with one credit provider. Relying purely on the transactional data you hold on an individual customer is a miss as you’ll only see your piece of the puzzle. By zooming out to see a fuller data picture of consumers, you can identify financial stresses affecting their situation.

Leveraging indicators such as use of high-cost credit, regular use of overdrafts, persistent debt such as credit cards, being overlimit on credit, using revolving credit, debt trajectory and derogatory data such as CCJs on file with associated collection searches, provide businesses with the most telling signs of emerging financial stress. With these data indicators and insights, businesses can put in place proactive customer support and preventative treatment strategies to reduce the likelihood of further financial stress for these individuals.

What are the indicators of financial difficulty?

Financial difficulty in indicator form looks like missed payments on mainstream credit, utilities arrears, defaults, late payments and arrears, forbearance on credit, debt management plans, County Court Judgments (CCJs) and insolvencies.

Indicators of non-financial vulnerability

Non-financial vulnerability by its nature is not as overtly obvious in the data as financial vulnerability, but there are signs that, once captured, can be used to provide an even more detailed data picture of your consumers, adding new dimensions to your treatment strategies. These signs could include:

  • Cognitive vulnerabilities - mental health, gambling addictions, financial capacity
  • Life event – deceased, bereavement
  • Fraud - coercion
  • Physical – accessibility, physical disability, physical health
Data scientists developing new data concepts for helping vulnerable consumers

Combining financial and non-financial vulnerabilities for better consumer and business outcomes

TransUnion, specialists in financial indicators, has partnered with the Vulnerability Registration Service (VRS), a not-for-profit charity which offers consumers a single platform to self-register their vulnerable status.

This exclusive partnership will enable VRS to work towards its aim of creating a central route for consumers to share their vulnerability and, for TransUnion, grants the ability to combine non-financial and financial indicators and share that information with clients - the first Credit Reference Agency to offer this. This combined view gives lenders greater understanding of consumer vulnerabilities and a fuller data picture, which businesses can use to support their consumers.

In summary

Vulnerability is complex by nature but it’s a challenge that must be addressed. There’s more pressure than ever with continued macro-economic turbulence and regulatory pressure on businesses to take greater accountability in treating vulnerable customers fairly, inclusively, and avoiding causing them foreseeable harm.

The FCA defines four drivers of vulnerability as; Health; Life Events; Resilience; and Capability. Each of these categories can be identified and detected with financial, non-financial or a combination of indicators. The stage of vulnerability that a consumer is experiencing can be mapped to three stages of the vulnerability spectrum: signs of vulnerability, financial stress indicators and financial difficulties.

For each stage TransUnion can support businesses with key data indicators, allowing them to leverage these insights to identify consumers showing signs of financial stress, and take action to help prevent them from encountering further harm.

TransUnion has partnered with VRS to enhance its vulnerability dataset with non-financial indicators, enabling an improved view of a consumer’s holistic vulnerability, and fuller coverage of the four categories of vulnerability drivers outlined by the FCA. TransUnion are proud to be the first Credit Reference agency to offer this enhanced data, which will enable businesses to better serve their vulnerable customers.

If you're interested in learning more about how you can bring vulnerability insights into your customer streategy download our Consumer Vulnerability: Help Improve Customer Outcomes with New Data Concepts eBook.

If you’re a consumer with questions or issues related to your personal credit report, drivers history report, disputes, fraud, identity theft, credit report freeze or credit monitoring services, please visit our Customer Enquiries page for assistance.

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